{"id":6778,"date":"2026-05-20T15:17:06","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T15:17:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\/magazine\/?p=6778"},"modified":"2026-05-25T15:19:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-25T15:19:21","slug":"mass-deportations-reduce-overall-employment-in-the-us","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\/magazine\/mass-deportations-reduce-overall-employment-in-the-us\/","title":{"rendered":"Mass Deportations Reduce Overall Employment in the US"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>By Kate Scanlon, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.osvnews.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">OSV News<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WASHINGTON (OSV News) \u2014 A mass deportation effort carried out by President Donald Trump\u2019s administration could have a significant chilling effect on the economy and the labor market, including for U.S.-born workers, according to a new estimate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The findings were in the working paper \u201cLabor Market Impacts of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.maryknollmagazine.org\/2026\/02\/ice-warehouse-detention-centers-will-endanger-families-bishop-warns\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ICE Activity<\/a> in Trump 2.0,\u201d released in early May by co-authors Chloe East, an associate professor of economics at the University of Colorado Boulder, and Elizabeth Cox, a research assistant with CU\u2019s Institute for Behavioral Science. East and Cox compared U.S. regions that experienced \u201ca large and sudden increase\u201d in monthly ICE arrests between January 2025 and October 2025 with regions that did not, and found a \u201cmeaningful chilling effect\u201d on the labor markets in the areas that had the surges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe show that heightened ICE activity is harming the labor market overall, and we find no evidence that it is benefiting U.S.-born workers,\u201d East said in a statement. \u201cIf anything, job opportunities for U.S.-born workers are going down as a result.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No U.S. national survey asks for immigration status, so the economists used a proxy model to estimate populations of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.maryknollmagazine.org\/2025\/11\/pope-calls-treatment-of-immigrants-in-us-extremely-disrespectful\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">unauthorized immigrants<\/a>, they said. Using that model, East and Cox found that, on average, in a region that had experienced an ICE surge, 4% fewer \u201clikely undocumented\u201d immigrants remaining in the community reported working in the previous week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mass deportations harm the economy and reduce employment<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">J. Kevin Appleby, senior fellow for policy at the Center for Migration Studies of New York and the former director of migration policy for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.maryknollmagazine.org\/2025\/06\/usccb-president-bishops-stand-with-immigrants-in-this-challenging-hour\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops<\/a>, told OSV News the CU Boulder research shows that \u201cwhile it may seem counterintuitive to some, undocumented immigrants working in certain industries stimulate growth in the economy, thus generating jobs in related occupations.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAnd studies have shown that most U.S. citizens shy away from jobs immigrants perform,\u201d he said. \u201cAs a result, mass deportations can depress the economy and increase prices by shrinking the labor force.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The researchers also found no evidence that employers increased wages to attract U.S.-born workers for roles previously filled by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.maryknollmagazine.org\/2025\/10\/cardinal-mcelroy-calls-for-solidarity-with-migrants-lacking-legal-status\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">undocumented immigrants<\/a>, or that U.S.-citizen workers had more job opportunities after the ICE enforcement surges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On average, it found, in regions that had an ICE surge, 1.3% fewer U.S.-born males with a high school degree or less had jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThere is a common narrative out there that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.maryknollmagazine.org\/2026\/03\/el-paso-hundreds-rally-with-bishops-to-protest-mass-deportations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">mass deportations<\/a> will free up job opportunities for U.S.-born workers, but numerous studies, including ours, have shown that is false,\u201d East said. \u201cIf a construction company can\u2019t find laborers, they\u2019re going to take on less work and hire fewer people overall.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The study found this impact was particularly significant in the agriculture, manufacturing and construction sectors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Church calls for justice and dignity for immigrant workers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Clayton Sinyai, a labor adviser for the <a href=\"https:\/\/catholiclabor.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Catholic Labor Network<\/a>, told OSV News, \u201cMass deportation of immigrants living in our midst isn\u2019t just cruel \u2014 it actually reduces job opportunities for native born workers.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThat\u2019s why <a href=\"https:\/\/www.maryknollmagazine.org\/2026\/02\/the-church-raises-its-voice-on-immigration\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the Church<\/a> and the AFL-CIO agree that any solution to the challenges of immigration must include a path to citizenship for undocumented workers who have otherwise obeyed the law and contributed to our community,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Aimee Shelide Mayer, that group\u2019s executive director, added that \u201cCatholic social teaching insists that every worker is a human person with dignity, not simply a cog in the wheel to be discarded when politically convenient.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe evidence increasingly shows that mass deportation policies do not strengthen working families; they disrupt local economies, shrink the labor force, and can harm both immigrant and U.S.-born workers alike, especially in industries already facing labor shortages,\u201d Shelide Mayer told OSV News. \u201cA just immigration approach must uphold the rule of law while also recognizing the deep <a href=\"https:\/\/www.maryknollmagazine.org\/2024\/04\/bishop-seitz-migrants-can-help-build-us-future\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">contributions immigrant workers<\/a> make to our communities and creating realistic pathways for long-term, law-abiding workers to remain with their families and participate fully in the common good.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Catholic social teaching on immigration balances three interrelated principles \u2014 the right of persons to migrate in order to sustain their lives and those of their families; the right of a country to regulate its borders and control immigration; and a nation\u2019s duty to regulate its borders with justice and mercy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe moral issue here is that while immigrants help us economically, we are happy to scapegoat them, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.maryknollmagazine.org\/2026\/03\/forum-immigration-enforcement-separates-families-and-harms-children\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">divide their families<\/a>, and accept their sweat equity at very low wages,\u201d Appleby added. \u201cAs a nation, we need to acknowledge this contradiction and provide them with legal protection.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Featured image: A worker carries lumber at a highway construction site in Stony Brook, New York, Aug. 30, 2022. (OSV News\/CNS file, Gregory A. Shemitz)<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Experts say all workers \u2014 not only immigrants \u2014 are adversely affected, especially in agriculture, construction and manufacturing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":6780,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_eb_attr":"","_eb_data_table":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1053],"tags":[2822,2823,2825,1562,2366,1168,2824,2134,1573,730,1054,2826],"class_list":["post-6778","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-aimee-shelide-mayer","tag-center-for-migration-studies-of-new-york","tag-clayton-sinyai","tag-donald-trump","tag-family-separation","tag-ice","tag-immigrant-workers","tag-j-kevin-appleby","tag-kate-scanlon","tag-mass-deportations","tag-u-s-conference-of-catholic-bishops","tag-unauthorized-immigrants"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Mass Deportations Reduce Overall Employment in the US - Maryknoll Magazine<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mass Deportations Reduce Overall Employment in the US - Maryknoll Magazine\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Experts say all workers \u2014 not only immigrants \u2014 are adversely affected, especially in agriculture, construction and manufacturing.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\/magazine\/mass-deportations-reduce-overall-employment-in-the-us\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Maryknoll Magazine\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-20T15:17:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-25T15:19:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/05\/20250828T1700-SYNOD-MEETING-LABOR-CHURCH-1803088_798x447.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"798\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"447\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"OSV News\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"OSV News\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\\\/magazine\\\/mass-deportations-reduce-overall-employment-in-the-us\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\\\/magazine\\\/mass-deportations-reduce-overall-employment-in-the-us\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"OSV News\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\\\/magazine\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/78b508897748b14f03af3c709940d12b\"},\"headline\":\"Mass Deportations Reduce Overall Employment in the US\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-20T15:17:06+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-05-25T15:19:21+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\\\/magazine\\\/mass-deportations-reduce-overall-employment-in-the-us\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":807,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\\\/magazine\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\\\/magazine\\\/mass-deportations-reduce-overall-employment-in-the-us\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dev.maryknollsociety.org\\\/magazine\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/20250828T1700-SYNOD-MEETING-LABOR-CHURCH-1803088_798x447.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Aimee Shelide Mayer\",\"Center for Migration Studies of New York\",\"Clayton Sinyai\",\"Donald Trump\",\"family separation\",\"ICE\",\"immigrant workers\",\"J. 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